Quick note from me

Everyone says design is dead. Designers are cooked. AI will replace us.

I went through 6 recent reports and interviews to understand what is actually happening. Framer's State of Sites '26, Lenny's State of the Product Job Market, Maze's Future of User Research Report 2026, Anthropic's labor market research, The World Economic Forum’s Four Futures for Jobs in the New Economy report and Jenny Wen on Lenny's Podcast.

Here’s what I think: if designers are cooked, then every white collar worker is cooked. And I do not believe that.

Story outline

  • POV 01: This is not new: design has always been neglected

  • POV 02: The job market: design is flat, everything else is growing

  • POV 03: AI adoption is real, but the gap is massive

  • POV 04: The bottleneck is not what you think

  • POV 05: So who is actually cooked?

  • POV 06: My bet: the hybrid profile

  • POV 07: Build a mobility framework

  • POV 08: Change the story depending on who is listening

POV 01

This is not new: design has always been neglected

Before we talk about the data, let me say something that none of these reports mention.

70% of the students I have worked with over the last few years were:

  • The only designer on their team

  • Freelancers or sole designers in startups

  • One-person design teams in low maturity organisations

Working in these places is hard. You are not understood, you do not have mentors or design colleagues, and design ends up being execution and visuals without the depth or craft it deserves.

That has been the reality for years. So when I hear “design is dead” I wonder: for most designers, was design ever truly alive in their organisation?

POV 02

The job market: design is flat, everything else is growing

Lenny's latest report tracks openings at 9,000+ tech companies:

  • PM roles at a 3-year high, over 7,300 open globally

  • Engineering surging, over 67,000 openings

  • Design is flat since early 2023, about 5,700 globally

  • AI roles hockey-sticking across all functions

The PM-to-designer ratio flipped in mid-2023. There are now 1.27x more PM openings than design openings.

That sounds scary. But keep reading.

POV 03

AI adoption is real, but the gap is massive

84% of teams already use AI in their workflow for copy, images, and code. The first draft is easy now.

But Anthropic's labor market research confirms that the gap between what AI can do and what it actually does in practice is still massive. Adoption will spread, but right now most companies are not there yet.

Starting things is getting easier.

Owning, shipping, and improving them is where the real value is, and that is not going away anytime soon.

POV 04

The bottleneck is not what you think

According to Framer’s report:

  • 71% of teams say conversion is a top KPI

  • Only 12% use A/B testing

  • No data or proof, so often leadership defaults to "I don't like it"

That is the real bottleneck, not tools, AI or speed.

Design gets evaluated on taste because most designers never learned to speak business. We present pixels whereas leadership wants impact. And when you can’t show impact, you get feedback based on someone's preference.

This is a design problem. We need to own it and speak in value language.

Maze reports that research insights considered essential to business strategy jumped from 8% to 22% in one year. Research got a seat at the table because it learned to talk about money, risk, and outcomes. Not methods.

I believe we need to talk more with business, show more proof and be be more vocal about our value.

POV 05

So who is actually cooked?

Now here is the part nobody is saying.

We are better equipped than many other roles. Many designers already do the work of PMs:

  • Facilitation and workshops

  • Stakeholder management

  • Business thinking and prioritisation

  • Speaking to customers

  • Framing problems and trade-offs

In many organisations, especially where you are the only designer, you’ve been doing all of this for years. And many designers also know how to code, or are learning.

So who is more cooked?

A PM who cannot design or build? Or a designer who already does product thinking and can ship?

Design craft is still a real skill. Producing high quality screens, interactions, and visual systems is not something PMs do. Only some front-end developers deal with UI at that level. Our roles have been blending for years. The market is just catching up.

POV 06

My bet: the hybrid profile

Jenny Wen (Design Lead for Claude at Anthropic) described 3 archetypes on Lenny's Podcast:

  • The Block-Shaped Generalist. Really good at multiple things, overlapping PM and engineering

  • The Deep T Specialist. Goes much deeper: 50% engineer with unique visual craft

  • The Cracked New Grad. Builds things, no attachment to old process, a learning mindset

All three are hybrids. Here is my positioning bet: the hybrid profile wins.

You might be a designer who worked in startups. You can frame your story around that.

But you can also position yourself as:

  • A growth designer for startups

  • A design engineer (design + code)

  • A product manager and designer

  • A product builder

The skills are already there. The framing is what most designers miss. A hiring manager at a startup needs to hear something different than a design director at an enterprise company.

POV 07

Build a mobility framework

The WEF report calls it mobility. I call it survival.

The best designers I know don’t have a fixed career path

They move across roles, tasks, and skills depending on what the situation needs.

  • Experiment with new tools and workflows

  • Iterate on your positioning every few months

  • Change direction when the market shifts

  • Join things. Leave things. Do not get attached

Adaptability is not a soft skill. It is the skill. When the world creates challenges, we do not panic, we act.

This does not mean chasing every trend. It means building your own stack of deep skills and being flexible about where and how you apply them.

  • Naval says "people only want the best of anything”

  • Jenny Wen's archetypes all rely on depth, not breadth

So pick your battles, go deep, but stay mobile. A combination of deep skills is what makes you the best. Not a long list of shallow ones.

POV 08

Change the story depending on who is listening

You think up-skilling is the only way to survive on this market. But I think, you also need better framing.

  • A startup founder needs to hear "I can own the product end to end"

  • A design director needs to hear "I have deep craft and systems thinking"

  • A PM hiring manager needs to hear "I already do half of this job"

Same designer and skills, but different story.

Your positioning is not fixed. It shifts based on who is listening. Most designers miss this completely.

Take a few days and run an honest audit:

  • Where are you now?

  • Where do you want to be?

  • What skills do you have that you are not talking about?

  • Who are you positioning yourself for?

I built a career tracker template for this.

And one thing no report, no AI tool, and no framework can replace: relationships. Talk to people.

🫶 Together with UX Portfolio Course

Your portfolio is part of your positioning

Everything in this newsletter comes down to one thing: how you frame your skills. Your portfolio is where that framing lives.

The UX Portfolio Course helps you turn messy projects into senior-level case studies that speak to the people you want to work with. Not generic, not templated, but positioned for your next move. And I provide async feedback inside the community.

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My Designer Toolkit 🛠️

Tools I actually use in my workflow. Some links support this newsletter.

  1. Framer → My go-to website builder

  2. Mobbin → My go-to app library

Want help with your UX portfolio? 🎁

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Questions? Reply directly.

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Aneta

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